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FX News Headlines
- Market Reaction:
- 🟩🟩 Very Bullish
- 🟩⬜ Bullish
- ⬜⬜ Neutral
- 🟥⬜ Bearish
- 🟥🟥 Very Bearish
| Date | FX | News | Sen. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/5 | DXY | The ADP payrolls estimate and ISM services index for November were below market forecasts. The data came ahead of a speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who said that the U.S. economy is in good shape and that there is no reason that can’t continue. | 🟥🟥 |
| 12/5 | JPY | BOJs Nakamura: Not confident about sustainability of wage growth. | 🟥🟥 |
| 12/5 | CAD | The Canadian dollar steadied against its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday, keeping some distance from a recent 4-1/2-year low, as oil prices fell and investors continued to bet on a Federal Reserve interest rate cut this month. | 🟥⬜ |
| 12/5 | AUD | The Australian dollar tumbled to a four-month low on Wednesday after weaker-than-expected economic growth raised expectations for earlier interest rate cuts. | 🟥🟥 |
| 12/5 | EUR | Investors also digested comments from European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde in a parliamentary hearing on Wednesday. She said the ECB will continue to lower rates, but did not commit to any pace of easing. | 🟥⬜ |
| 12/5 | EUR | The euro rose marginally against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, but came off session highs, after a widely expected collapse of the French government following a no-confidence vote by opposition lawmakers. | 🟩⬜ |
| 12/4 | GBP | GBP/USD consolidated within a relatively narrow range on Tuesday as recent remarks from influential Fed official Christopher Waller heightened the focus on incoming U.S. data after he said incoming economic figures will ultimately determine his decision at the next policy meeting, even though he currently leans in favor of a rate cut. | ⬜⬜ |
| 12/4 | DXY | The South Korean won, meanwhile, was one of the biggest movers, plunging against the U.S. dollar to a more than two-year low after South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol declared martial law in an unannounced late-night address on television. | 🟩⬜ |
| 12/4 | DXY | The U.S. dollar recovered from a three-week low versus the yen on Wednesday and held its ground against other major rivals as traders pondered the chances of a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut this month. | ⬜⬜ |
| 12/4 | CAD | The Canadian dollar edged lower against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday and posted larger declines against some other major currencies as political uncertainty in South Korea rattled investor sentiment. | 🟥🟥 |
| 12/4 | CAD | Canada’s employment report for November, due on Friday, could help guide expectations for additional interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada. Economists expect a gain of 25,000 jobs. | ⬜⬜ |
| 12/4 | EUR | The euro held its ground above its recent two-year trough, as French lawmakers prepared to vote on no-confidence motions later in the day that are all but certain to topple the government. | ⬜⬜ |
| 12/4 | AUD | Australia GDP Q3 0.3% versus 0.4% estimate | 🟥🟥 |
| 12/4 | AUD | The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) holds its next policy meeting on Dec. 10, but just last week reiterated that a rate cut was unlikely in the near term given stubborn inflation. | ⬜⬜ |
| 12/4 | AUD | The Australian dollar slipped on Wednesday as disappointing economic data added slightly to the case for an eventual cut in interest rates, though markets still think a move is unlikely in the next few months. | 🟥🟥 |
| 12/4 | DXY | In economic news, US job openings rose to 7.74 million as of the last day of October from the previous month’s 7.37 million print, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ job openings and labor turnover survey. The consensus was for a 7.52 million level in a survey compiled by Bloomberg. | 🟩🟩 |
| 12/3 | DXY | The dollar index rose above 106.5 on Tuesday, extending gains from the previous session as investors await a series of US labor market reports this week to assess the outlook for interest rates. | 🟩🟩 |
| 12/3 | EUR | The euro faltered on Monday against a strong U.S. dollar on growing concerns about a possible government collapse in France, which would stall plans to curb a burgeoning budget deficit. | 🟥🟥 |
| 12/3 | GBP | The GBP/USD moved lower on Monday after peaking near a swing area around 1.27159, where sellers emerged to cap the upside. | 🟥⬜ |
| 12/3 | AUD | Last week, Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock stated that Australia’s core inflation remains “too high” to consider interest rate cuts in the near term. | 🟩⬜ |
| 12/3 | CAD | The loonie was mixed after a report that Canadian manufacturing activity increased at the fastest pace in 21 months. | ⬜⬜ |
| 12/3 | GBP | The pound was lower after a gauge of British manufacturing activity pointed to the sharpest contraction in nine months. | 🟥⬜ |
| 12/3 | DXY | Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic said he has an open mind about whether to cut interest rates again at the Fed’s December meeting, with upcoming data on jobs important in shaping the decision. | ⬜⬜ |
| 12/3 | EUR | Euro zone manufacturing activity fell sharply in November, dashing hopes of an imminent recovery and Italy car sales were down 10.82% year-on-year in November. | 🟥🟥 |
| 12/3 | EUR | France’s far-right leader Marine Le Pen said her National Rally party would vote for all no-confidence votes after Prime Minister Michel Barnier said he would try to ram a social security bill through parliament without a vote. | 🟥🟥 |
| 12/3 | AUD | The Australian dollar (AUDUSD) dropped 0.7% overnight and was marginally down to $0.6470, with some mixed economic data showing a bigger-than-forecast current account deficit, but a jump in government spending that is likely to boost growth. | 🟥🟥 |
| 12/3 | EUR | The euro (EURUSD), which had been the weakest G10 currency through November, began this month with a 0.7% fall overnight and hovered at $1.0489 early in the Asia morning, as France’s government heads for collapse over a budget impasse. | 🟥🟥 |
| 12/3 | JPY | The yen swam against the tide to trade near six-week peaks on growing bets that Japan is about to hike interest rates. | 🟩🟩 |
| 12/3 | JPY | The yen (USDJPY), the only G10 currency to gain on the dollar last month, touched its strongest since late October on Monday at 149.09 to the dollar and was trading near there on Tuesday. Market pricing implies a near 60% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike in Japan later in December. | 🟩🟩 |
| 12/2 | DXY | The dollar index (DXY) Friday fell by -0.31% and posted a 2-1/2 week low. Friday’s decline in T-note yields weighed on the dollar. | 🟥⬜ |
| 12/2 | EUR | The European Central Bank is seen cutting rates this month, with markets implying a 27% chance it might even ease by 50 basis points on Dec. 12. | 🟥🟥 |
| 12/2 | JPY | Data out Monday showed business investment running at a healthy 8.1% clip in the third quarter, encouraging markets to price in a 63% chance the BOJ will hike by a quarter point to 0.5% at its policy meeting on Dec. 18-19. | 🟩⬜ |
| 12/2 | JPY | Over the weekend, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said the next interest rate hikes are “nearing in the sense that economic data are on track,” following figures showing Tokyo inflation picked up in October. | 🟩🟩 |
| 12/2 | DXY | The dollar also drew some verbal support from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump who on Saturday demanded that BRICS member countries commit to not creating a new currency or supporting another currency that could replace the dollar or face 100% tariffs. | 🟩⬜ |
| 12/2 | CAD | Canada’s economy grew at an annualized rate of 1% in the third quarter, undershooting the Bank of Canada’s forecast of 1.5%, after growing 2.2% in the prior quarter. | 🟥⬜ |
| 12/2 | CAD | The Canadian dollar edged higher against its U.S. counterpart on Friday but was still headed for a weekly and monthly decline as domestic gross domestic product data bolstered bets for an outsized interest rate cut from the Bank of Canada in December. | 🟩⬜ |
| 12/2 | EUR | Data on Friday showed that French consumer prices grew in line with expectations in November. Germany’s inflation report on Thursday showed price pressures remaining flat in November despite expectations of a second consecutive increase. | ⬜⬜ |
| 12/2 | EUR | The euro (EURUSD) gained 0.24% to $1.0578. The single currency has tumbled 2.8% in November as the dollar has rallied, putting it on course for its worst month since May 2023. | 🟩⬜ |
| 12/2 | JPY | Tokyo’s core consumer price index, which excludes volatile fresh food costs, rose 2.2% year-on-year in November from a year earlier, up from 1.8% last month and beating forecasts for a 2.1% gain. | 🟩🟩 |
| 12/2 | JPY | The yen jumped to a six-week high against the dollar on Friday after faster-than-expected inflation in Tokyo supported bets for a Bank of Japan interest rate hike next month. | 🟩🟩 |
| 11/29 | CAD | The Canadian dollar edged higher against its U.S. counterpart in holiday-thinned trading on Thursday as oil prices rose and investors assessed the chances of Canada avoiding stiff trade tariffs pledged by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. | 🟩🟩 |
| 11/29 | CAD | “Our base case forecast continues to see Canada avoiding the 25% tariff threat in January, but ultimately facing a 10% tariff later next year on all non-energy goods, with potentially a few other exceptions like autos and parts,” Royce Mendes, managing director and head of macro strategy at Desjardins, said in a note. | 🟩🟩 |
| 11/29 | AUD | In a hawkish speech on Thursday, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock made it clear there was no prospect of a rate cut in the near term. | 🟩⬜ |
| 11/29 | AUD | The Australian and New Zealand dollars were becalmed on Friday as a U.S. holiday drained the market of liquidity, while investors pondered a diverging outlook for rates which is set to see Australia hold out for some more time. | ⬜⬜ |
| 11/29 | JPY | Tokyo’s core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes volatile fresh food costs, rose 2.2% in November from a year earlier. That exceeded a median market forecast for a 2.1% gain and accelerating from a 1.8% increase in October. | 🟩🟩 |
| 11/29 | EUR | German consumer price data on Thursday was flat, despite expectations of a second consecutive increase. Dovish comments from a European Central Bank official overnight and budget wrangling in France also weighed on the shared currency. | 🟥⬜ |
| 11/29 | JPY | The yen jumped as much as 1% to a six-week high at 150 per dollar on Friday, after faster than expected inflation in Tokyo supported bets for a Bank of Japan interest rate hike next month. | 🟩🟩 |
| 11/28 | CAD | Canadian third-quarter gross domestic product data, due on Friday, could offer clues on the pace of further interest rate cuts expected from the Bank of Canada. Economists forecast growth slowing to an annualized rate of 1%. | 🟥⬜ |
| 11/28 | CAD | The Canadian dollar extended its recovery from a 4-1/2 year low against its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday as investors bet on Canada avoiding threatened U.S. trade tariffs through negotiation and looked ahead to domestic GDP data. | 🟩⬜ |
| 11/28 | JPY | Rates pricing implies about a 60% chance of a 25-basis point rate hike in Japan next month, up from around 50% a week ago, and a majority of analysts polled by Reuters expect a hike. | 🟩🟩 |
| 11/28 | JPY | The yen, meanwhile, has rallied sharply for two days, rising through its 200-day moving average to 151.50 per dollar (USDJPY). It was slightly weaker in morning trade in Asia, and hovered around 160 per euro. | 🟩🟩 |
| 11/28 | AUD | The Australian and New Zealand dollars found some support on Thursday as a drop in Treasury yields hindered their U.S. counterpart, while investors pondered the rapidly diverging path of domestic interest rates. | 🟩⬜ |
| 11/27 | DXY | U.S. consumer confidence increased to a 16-month high in November amid optimism over the labor market, expectations for lower inflation and higher stock prices over the next year. | 🟩🟩 |
| 11/27 | GBP | Derek Halpenny, currency strategist at Japanese bank MUFG, said Britain’s minor trade surplus with the United States meant it could escape Trump’s ire. | 🟩⬜ |
| 11/27 | GBP | The pound was little changed on Tuesday, relatively unscathed after a threat from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump to ramp up tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China sparked volatility in currency markets. | ⬜⬜ |
| 11/27 | DXY | The dollar rose broadly on Tuesday amid firmer Treasury yields, ongoing geopolitical risks and concerns that President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs will lead to trade wars. | 🟩⬜ |
| 11/27 | CAD | The Canadian dollar clawed back some of its decline against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday as investors weighed the likelihood of hefty trade tariffs pledged by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump on Canadian products being implemented. | 🟥🟥 |
| 11/27 | AUD | The Australian dollar (AUDUSD) was mostly flat at $0.64755 after domestic consumer price inflation stayed at a three-year low in October. | ⬜⬜ |
| 11/27 | DXY | The minutes of the Nov. 6-7 meeting also showed the group agreed this was a moment to avoid giving much concrete guidance about how U.S. monetary policy is likely to evolve in the weeks ahead. | ⬜⬜ |
| 11/26 | AUD | Investors are focused on upcoming Australian inflation data, which will provide key insights into the outlook for monetary policy by the Reserve Bank of Australia. | 🟩⬜ |
| 11/25 | GBP | Retail sales fell by a bigger-than-expected 0.7% in October and flash PMIs also came below forecasts, pointing to a fractional decline in business activity during November, as services slowed sharply and manufacturing contracted. | 🟥🟥 |
| 11/25 | GBP | The British pound weakened to below $1.26, the lowest since mid-May, as traders react to disappointing economic data. | 🟥🟥 |
| 11/22 | GBP | The pound briefly spiked above $1.27 against the dollar after Wednesday’s robust CPI report, but gains were swiftly erased, reflecting broader dollar strength driving the GBP/USD pair. | 🟥⬜ |
| 11/20 | GBP | Top Bank of England officials said the possible impacts on inflation from tax increases represented the biggest doubt around their intention to cut interest rates gradually. | 🟩🟩 |
| 11/15 | GBP | Sterling continued its post-election descent, falling to lows not seen since July as GBP/USD longs unwind positions amid expectations that protectionist policies of President-elect Donald Trump will keep inflation high and the dollar bid. | 🟥🟥 |
| 11/14 | GBP | The GBP/USD has declined in trading today, breaking below the 61.8% retracement level of the move up from the April 2024 low, which sits at 1.2732. | 🟥🟥 |
Chart Pattern
20Nov