Bitcoin on a downtrend?

2025-01-05 @ 21:11

Price Movement

The crypto asset’s daily chart displays a substantial upward trend followed by a correction. Starting from early 2024, the price showed a steady rise, reaching a peak of approximately 108,000 in late 2024. This climb was characterized by multiple higher highs and higher lows, signaling a bullish trend. However, after reaching the peak, the asset experienced a pullback, bringing the price down to the current level of 92,366. This correction indicates a potential consolidation phase or the beginning of a trend reversal. The asset is hovering around the Fibonacci retracement levels, which may provide clues about future movements.

Technical Analysis

Moving Averages: The price is interacting with multiple moving averages, including a crossover of shorter-term moving averages above the longer-term ones, indicating bullish momentum.

Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Key levels include 78.6% at 96,480, and others aligned with potential support and resistance, suggesting zones of interest for traders.

MACD: Shows a bearish divergence, where the MACD line crossed below the signal line, indicating potential downward momentum.

Chart Patterns: A possible head and shoulders pattern at the peak suggests the potential for a trend reversal.

Outlook

The current outlook for the crypto asset suggests cautious monitoring. Although the previous bullish trend was strong, the recent correction hints at potential market hesitation. Traders should watch for signals of either consolidation above key support levels or further declines. The interaction with the moving averages and Fibonacci levels will be crucial in determining the next phase. If the asset stabilizes above the medium-term moving averages, it may resume its upward trend. Conversely, a sustained drop below these levels could confirm a bearish reversal, warranting a reevaluation of long positions.