Gold Trend 01/03

Gold eased after Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks. The week began with the market opened gapping USD 30 higher at 1918 back from the weekend. The price has quickly jumped to 1931 but stayed above 1920 for only a short while. The gap(1) was refilled before the European session as the price touched 1893. Overall the price was range-bound between 1893-1920 yesterday, and the day ended at 1908.

As mentioned yesterday, the downtrend that originated from 1974 has been completed, and the price is still contained within 1883-1920(2). An S-T support line(3) has formed after the price rebounded before the closing yesterday. Expect the price to slide along this support line(3) toward 1920 until it breaks out from the range.

Gold has failed to clear the 1900-08 resistance zone(4); the daily was again below 1910. The structure on the daily chart hasn’t changed much, and the M-T uptrend channel remains effective. Still waiting for the daily candle to close below 1890 to kick start the M-T consolidation trend toward 1850 or below. But before that, continue to take advantage of the 1880-1910(6) range.

S-T Resistances:




Market price: 1906

S-T Supports:




Risk Disclosure: Gold Bullion/Silver (“Bullion”) trading carries a high degree of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. This article is for reference only and is not a solicitation or advice to trade any currencies and investment products . Before deciding to trade Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment or even more in extreme circumstances (such as Gapping underlying markets) and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require. Client should not make investment decision solely based on the point of view and information on this article. 

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Gold Trend 11/03 – Reversal signals yet to appear

The gold price was unstoppable last week. It broke clear the December high of 2088 and surpassed the historical high of 2147. On Friday, even with better-than-expected US non-farm payroll data, it continued to rise before the market closed, reaching a new all-time high of 2195. This week, the US will release core CPI and retail sales data on Tuesday and Thursday, if inflation slows down and the data disappoints, we can expect the gold price to continue its upward movement. 1-hr Chart – The gold price was rejected by 2190(1) again during the Asian session today. Since breaking through the resistance at 2147-2150 last week, an S-T upward channel(3) has formed in the past 48 hours. If the gold price breaks below the upward channel(3) after Tuesday’s data, the trading range can be set between 2155-85(2). Daily Chart – After breaking through the December high of 2088 (4) last week, gold officially began its uptrend. The upside target 2190, estimated based on the previous consolidation range of 1:1 (4.1), has been reached. As the gold price is approaching the upper resistance of the M-T upward channel(5), the gold price has pullback(6) before the market closed on Friday. Keep an eye out; it would be the first signal of another surge if the gold price closes above 2178 on the daily chart in the next 2 days. Otherwise, a retreatment toward 2147-50 will begin. P. To